Rung Five
All evidence
Rung 5 · Established

Yearly low-dose CT for people with a heavy smoking history

Fewer lung cancer deaths in two large randomized trials.

Early detectionWith your doctor

What studies found

In the NLST trial, low-dose CT cut lung cancer deaths by 20% compared with chest X-ray (16% with longer follow-up). In the NELSON trial there were 181 lung cancer deaths with screening versus 242 without at 10 years. The U.S. Task Force (2021) recommends yearly screening from 50 to 80 for people with a 20 pack-year history who smoke now or quit within the past 15 years. The American Cancer Society (2023) drops the 15-year limit.

The catch

About 1 in 4 people had a false alarm at the first NLST scan, and about 6% of screen-found cancers may never have caused harm (overdiagnosis).

What to do

If you smoked heavily, ask your doctor whether you qualify.

Sources

Rung 5 of 5, Established: Large randomized trials or overwhelming, consistent human evidence; reflected in major guidelines. How we score

To take it to your doctor, print this page.

Step by step

For the whole picture, from prevention and screening to treatment and life after, see the lung cancer page.

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